Place Bets on Eurovision

Eurovision betting moves differently from sports. Songs rise or fall within days, rehearsals shake up expectations, and a single staging change can push a country from outsider to favourite. Bettors usually watch how each entry lands online, how the juries react during rehearsals, and whether the live performance matches the buzz.

With clear odds for every stage of the contest and new information dropping throughout Eurovision week, the online betting markets stay active right up until the final votes come in.

Top Eurovision Stages & Shows to Bet On

Eurovision isn’t just the big night. The contest builds over months, and bettors follow different parts of the season because each stage reveals something new - rehearsal leaks, staging changes, live vocals, and how fans react when clips start circulating.

National Selection Finals

Countries like Sweden, Norway, and Italy run huge selection shows to choose their entry. These events often give the first clues about which artists can hold a live stage. Melodifestivalen, Sanremo, and Norway’s MGP usually draw the most betting interest.

Eurovision Semi-Final 1

The first semi often shows how the year will play out. Voters get their first look at staging, and songs that looked safe on paper sometimes fall flat. Bettors watch the qualification odds closely during rehearsals.

Eurovision Semi-Final 2

The second semi tends to feel tighter because many fan favourites end up here. Running order matters a lot, and quick shifts happen once live snippets hit social media.

The Grand Final

This is where everything comes together. Jury votes land first, televotes flip the board, and one strong performance late in the night can completely rewrite the outcome. Countries with proven staging teams usually get the early support.

How to Predict Eurovision Results Successfully

Eurovision changes a lot once rehearsals start. Songs that looked strong on paper can fade, and others suddenly click when people see them on stage. Most bettors end up watching how the crowd reacts, how steady the vocals are, and whether the performance actually works in the arena before they make any call.

Live Vocals: A song that sounds perfect in the studio can struggle live. Strong, steady vocals usually lift both jury and televote confidence.
Staging and Camera Work: Some entries rely heavily on visuals. If staging feels empty or the camera cuts miss key moments, the odds drop quickly.
Running Order: Later slots generally help, especially in a packed final. Early performances risk getting overshadowed unless they make a strong first impression.
Jury Tendencies: Juries often reward clean vocals, strong composition, and polished staging. They don’t always follow televote trends.
Televote Pull: Fan-driven songs, catchy hooks, and standout personalities tend to rise in televote-heavy years. Reactivity on social platforms is often a clue.
Rehearsal Buzz: Clips from the first and second rehearsals can shift the entire market. If a country suddenly trends, the odds usually tighten fast.
Fanbase Strength: Some countries bring predictable support - both diaspora and loyal Eurovision fan communities. It doesn’t guarantee success, but it helps on the qualification line.
Streaming and Social Metrics: Spotify jumps, YouTube traffic, TikTok clips - these sometimes reveal which songs stick in people’s heads long before the final.

Highest Eurovision Betting Odds Ever Won

Eurovision has had a few winners that didn’t look like contenders early on. Some entries grew slowly, others lifted once people saw the staging, and a couple were simply overlooked until the last minute. These five stand out because the odds were nowhere near “favourite” territory when the season began.

Portugal Wins Eurovision - 2017 (Salvador Sobral)

A quiet ballad that didn’t make much noise at first. Once Sobral performed it live, the juries reacted instantly and the price collapsed.

Bet: Outright winner
Odds: about 15/1 before rehearsals
Outcome: Portugal won the contest

Italy Wins Eurovision - 2021 (Måneskin)

Italy wasn’t at the top of the board early on. Måneskin’s staging hit hard, the crowd connected, and televoters carried the rest.

Bet: Outright winner
Odds: roughly 10/1 in the early season
Outcome: Italy won the contest

Netherlands Wins Eurovision - 2019 (Duncan Laurence)

Early odds put the Netherlands in mid-range territory. After “Arcade” picked up momentum online, everything shifted.

Bet: Outright winner
Odds: around 12/1 before the pre-parties
Outcome: Netherlands won the contest

Austria Wins Eurovision - 2014 (Conchita Wurst)

Austria wasn’t treated as a serious contender early in the season. The staging reveal changed everything - once people saw the performance, the odds tightened fast, and by the final night Conchita surged on both jury and televote.

Bet: Outright winner
Odds: opened around 25/1
Outcome: Austria won the contest

Switzerland Finishes 8th - 2005 (Vanilla Ninja)

Not a winner, but one of the biggest jumps ever seen. Switzerland went from near the bottom of qualification predictions to a top-ten finish.

Bet: Top 10 finish
Odds: widely listed above 20/1
Outcome: Switzerland placed 8th

FAQ

Do Eurovision odds change a lot during the season?

Yes, especially once rehearsals begin. A song can sit quietly in the middle of the odds for weeks and suddenly jump once people see the staging.

Why do some countries qualify almost every year?

Some have consistent staging teams, strong vocalists, or a fanbase that always shows up in the televote. It doesn’t guarantee anything, but it helps on the qualification line.

Do juries and televoters look for different things?

Most years, yes. Juries lean toward vocals and clean staging. The televote often picks songs with big moments or emotional pull.

Can running order affect the result?

It can. Songs placed late in the final tend to stick in people’s heads longer, while entries in the first few spots need something memorable to stand out.